Global War & Stability Forecast v4.2
This global risk forecast is accurate as of today, and reflects verified international developments, diplomatic trends, and military activity.
### WWIII Risk Meter
The current global war risk level is Yellow. Rising tensions in Eastern Europe, increased military posturing in the Asia-Pacific, and ongoing cyber confrontations contribute to a heightened but not yet imminent threat environment. Diplomatic channels remain active, but the risk of miscalculation persists amid geopolitical friction. The situation warrants cautious monitoring as the potential for escalation exists if trigger points are activated.
### Estimated WWIII Onset Window
There is a 20% probability of WWIII beginning between November 2025 and February 2026 if triggering events escalate.…
